Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.098169 0.113364 0.130132 0.150010 0.172936 0.198556 0.229371
2026-01-25 0.072432 0.092342 0.116555 0.148177 0.188418 0.237963 0.303686
2026-02-01 0.057178 0.078111 0.105355 0.143430 0.195331 0.263715 0.360874
2026-02-08 0.049220 0.071135 0.101279 0.145798 0.209987 0.299373 0.433694
2026-02-15 0.042808 0.064958 0.096914 0.146424 0.221359 0.330834 0.503531
2026-02-22 0.038140 0.060449 0.094040 0.148355 0.234214 0.365139 0.580856
2026-03-01 0.033239 0.054812 0.088584 0.145364 0.238746 0.386816 0.640661
2026-03-08 0.029350 0.050209 0.084059 0.143063 0.243729 0.409231 0.703593
2026-03-15 0.026782 0.047418 0.082054 0.144506 0.254778 0.442324 0.787604
2026-03-22 0.025463 0.046570 0.083143 0.151229 0.275420 0.493519 0.908364
2026-03-29 0.023911 0.045097 0.082932 0.155535 0.292107 0.539350 1.024415
2026-04-05 0.022409 0.043522 0.082326 0.158970 0.307440 0.584126 1.143224
2026-04-12 0.020725 0.041443 0.080624 0.160274 0.319142 0.623871 1.258021
2026-04-19 0.018827 0.038727 0.077424 0.158316 0.324312 0.651764 1.352968
2026-04-26 0.016815 0.035542 0.072940 0.153243 0.322584 0.665747 1.421060
2026-05-03 0.015811 0.034312 0.072224 0.155774 0.336681 0.712971 1.563557
2026-05-10 0.014729 0.032785 0.070719 0.156442 0.346852 0.753009 1.695042
2026-05-17 0.013875 0.031654 0.069915 0.158506 0.360209 0.801079 1.849442
2026-05-24 0.012671 0.029602 0.066899 0.155310 0.361469 0.822837 1.946731
2026-05-31 0.011645 0.027842 0.064338 0.152851 0.364104 0.847846 2.054244
2026-06-07 0.011002 0.026904 0.063537 0.154393 0.376217 0.895690 2.221284
2026-06-14 0.010783 0.026959 0.065040 0.161578 0.402584 0.979528 2.485310
2026-06-21 0.010404 0.026578 0.065467 0.166180 0.423125 1.051546 2.728083